I implied "low tech" insofar as that ICBMs are not really "autonomous" or a dynamic device.
They're launched, they fly, but at some point close to reaching terminal phase, all they do is fall along a pre-calculated trajectory.
Case in point with regards to Iran, a combination of factors played a role in Israel's response:
They knew the launch locations, times and most likely targets.
Hence were able to move out any valuable assets of targeted bases well ahead of time and, had they wanted to, could have even pre-emptively striked the launchers.
The latter again, requiring combined arms and from what I've seen about military ops, there are so many factors to pay attention to with sometimes such little time windows calculated by mission planners, that I don't see all that going full on autonomously for still some time to come.
The nominal number of assets involved, the number of types of naval and aerial assets involved, the highly detailed operation plan with a short window for payload launch resulting in a 2 minute window of said payloads reaching their targets simultaneously: That is such a dynamic and complex situation that the reliability required by each component in such a calculation is high.
That's why all of the humans operating these assets receive years of training.
Autonomous vehicles will have support roles or be optimized for high risk or standard, low-complexity scenarios, but I don't see them making huge strides to replace people in a big way in high-complexity, high-impact ops.
They're launched, they fly, but at some point close to reaching terminal phase, all they do is fall along a pre-calculated trajectory.
Case in point with regards to Iran, a combination of factors played a role in Israel's response:
They knew the launch locations, times and most likely targets.
Hence were able to move out any valuable assets of targeted bases well ahead of time and, had they wanted to, could have even pre-emptively striked the launchers.
The latter again, requiring combined arms and from what I've seen about military ops, there are so many factors to pay attention to with sometimes such little time windows calculated by mission planners, that I don't see all that going full on autonomously for still some time to come.
Check out this video on the 2017/18 US/ coalition response to the Syrian regime perpetrating gas attacks against civilians: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vnbkmi3Iieo
The nominal number of assets involved, the number of types of naval and aerial assets involved, the highly detailed operation plan with a short window for payload launch resulting in a 2 minute window of said payloads reaching their targets simultaneously: That is such a dynamic and complex situation that the reliability required by each component in such a calculation is high.
That's why all of the humans operating these assets receive years of training.
Autonomous vehicles will have support roles or be optimized for high risk or standard, low-complexity scenarios, but I don't see them making huge strides to replace people in a big way in high-complexity, high-impact ops.